Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.563055 1.829281 2.106695 2.415725 2.748811 3.095594 3.482531
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.107245 1.466498 1.864911 2.332529 2.859923 3.430654 4.089539
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.856714 1.252368 1.712474 2.272774 2.923955 3.645959 4.496692
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.674927 1.090835 1.597439 2.235566 2.996894 3.858404 4.890540
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.568270 1.004059 1.556312 2.271173 3.141532 4.141596 5.354395
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.471495 0.915890 1.502358 2.281935 3.249349 4.376582 5.758595
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.375624 0.814329 1.419994 2.247927 3.295449 4.533056 6.066570
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.346092 0.805426 1.457629 2.364150 3.524028 4.905184 6.626738
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.321777 0.800718 1.498539 2.482945 3.754843 5.279657 7.189888
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.304357 0.804323 1.549427 2.613870 4.000457 5.672072 7.774886
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.294032 0.817971 1.613672 2.762127 4.267996 6.091492 8.392870
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.267543 0.800133 1.630230 2.844925 4.451497 6.408257 8.888317
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.220588 0.742635 1.590248 2.856723 4.553434 6.637610 9.295453
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.161480 0.649898 1.490356 2.781861 4.541350 6.726274 9.534335
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.114568 0.567673 1.397813 2.710099 4.527373 6.807626 9.759743
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.082078 0.506221 1.331878 2.670973 4.552144 6.933759 10.036338
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.065408 0.479068 1.320570 2.709631 4.679829 7.188915 10.470871
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.048595 0.444344 1.292838 2.721761 4.770243 7.395965 10.845720
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.030824 0.395182 1.234297 2.684103 4.790358 7.511688 11.106365
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.028910 0.404415 1.283952 2.812446 5.039599 7.922175 11.734338
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.027310 0.414423 1.335087 2.943321 5.292789 8.338362 12.370257
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.026698 0.428636 1.394427 3.087283 5.564655 8.779296 13.037915
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.027344 0.448800 1.465509 3.249955 5.863087 9.255206 13.750108